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Belief Update in Bayesian Networks Using Uncertain Evidence

机译:使用不确定证据的贝叶斯网络中的信仰更新

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This paper reports our investigation on the problem of belief update in Bayesian networks (BN) using uncertain evidence. We focus on two types of uncertain evidences, virtual evidence (represented as likelihood ratios) and soft evidence (represented as probability distributions). We review three existing belief update methods with uncertain evidences: virtual evidence method, Jeffrey's rule, and IPFP (iterative proportional fitting procedure), and analyze the relations between these methods. This in-depth understanding leads us to propose two algorithms for belief update with multiple soft evidences. Both of these algorithms can be seen as integrating the techniques of virtual evidence method, IPFP and traditional BN evidential inference, and they have clear computational and practical advantages over the methods proposed by others in the past.
机译:本文报告了我们使用不确定的证据调查贝叶斯网络(BN)的信仰更新问题。我们专注于两种类型的不确定证据,虚拟证据(表示为似然比)和软证据(表示为概率分布)。我们审查了具有不确定证据的现有信念更新方法:虚拟证据方法,Jeffrey的规则和IPFP(迭代比例配件程序),并分析了这些方法之间的关系。这种深入的理解导致我们提出了两个具有多种软证据的信仰更新算法。这些算法都可以被视为集成虚拟证据方法,IPFP和传统的BN证据推理的技术,并且它们具有过去其他人提出的方法的计算和实际优势。

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