Probabilistic Assessment of Direct and Indirect Economic Consequences of Nuclear Accidents. Models and Case Studies

摘要

The economic consequences of accidental releases of radioactive material to the atmosphere are one of the main endpoints of Probabilistic Consequence Assessment (PCA) codes. Economic impact is orginated by the implementation of countermeasures (population movement, decontamination, intervention on food, mainly) as well as by the health effects potentially caused by the exposure to radioactive products. However, its evaluation is not a simple task and it was considered the least mature area of PCA modeling [1], with a need identified of research on the potential importance of indirect economic impacts, that were not modeled in any of the existing PCA codes.