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The Research of Ageing Population Problem in Shanghai Based on Systems Dynamics

机译:基于系统动态的上海老龄化人口问题研究

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Ageing population problem is a difficult "population-society-economy" complex system problem. The ageing population problem is an exoteric gigantic system with dissipation structure and multi-variables, multi-loops and nonlinear feedback structures. The action of the system have anti-vertical and think skin to the changes of interior parameter. This paper applies the systems dynamics methods to establish models of ageing population in Shanghai, the typical city facing ageing population in China, and probe into the impact and challenge of ageing population in regional economy, society and human resources. With a view to the complex dynamic relation of Shanghai ageing population system, five aspects were simulated, and based on the simulation the paper presented some reasonable proposals to solve regional ageing population problem.
机译:老龄化人口问题是一个艰难的“人口社会经济”复杂系统问题。老龄化人口问题是具有耗散结构和多变量,多环和非线性反馈结构的超级巨大系统。系统的动作具有反垂直,并思考内部参数的变化。本文适用于系统动态方法,建立上海老龄化人口模型,典型城市面临老年人的人口,以及区域经济,社会和人力资源老龄化人口的影响和挑战。以期对上海老龄化人口系统的复杂动态关系,模拟了五个方面,基于模拟本文提出了一些合理的建议,解决区域老龄化人口问题。

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