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System dynamic modeling of management of the economy
System dynamic modeling of management of the economy
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机译:经济管理的系统动态建模
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摘要
the dynamic u043cu043eu0434u0435u043bu0438u0440u043eu0432u0430u043du0438u00a0 processes u0443u043fu0440u0430u0432u043bu0435u043du0438u00a0 transition u0432u043au043bu044eu0447u0430u044eu0449u0430u00a0 block u043cu043eu0434u0435u043bu0438u0440u043eu0432u0430u043du0438u00a0 u043fu043eu0442u0440u0435u0431u043bu0435u043du0438u00a0, block u0432u044bu0447u0438u0441u043bu0435u043du0438u00a0 sales u043eu0442u043bu0438u0447u0430u044eu0449u0430u00a0u0441u00a0 t eat that, she added such blocks as block u0440u0430u0441u043fu0440u0435u0434u0435u043bu0435u043du0438u00a0 arrived, block u0440u0430u0441u043fu0440u0435u0434u0435u043bu0435u043du0438u00a0 savings, block u043cu043eu0434u0435u043bu0438u0440u043eu0432u0430u043du0438u00a0 coefficients u0440u0430u0441u043fu0440u0435u0434u0435u043bu0435u043du0438u00a0, b locke u043cu043eu0434u0435u043bu0438u0440u043eu0432u0430u043du0438u00a0 full cost of production and taxesthe u043cu043eu0434u0435u043bu0438u0440u043eu0432u0430u043du0438u00a0 value of fixed assets, the u043cu043eu0434u0435u043bu0438u0440u043eu0432u0430u043du0438u00a0 external borrowing, cluster analysis of the aggregate demand and u043fu0440u0435u0434u043bu043eu0436u0435u043du0438u00a0 and u0443u043fu0440u0430u0432u043bu0435u043du0438u00a0 process mod u0435u043bu0438u0440u043eu0432u0430u043du0438u00a0, with entrances from first to seventh block u043cu043eu0434u0435u043bu0438u0440u043eu0432u0430u043du0438u00a0 full cost of production and the tax system u00a0u0432u043bu00a0u044eu0442u0441u00a0 entrances, with the first entrance u043fu0440u0435u0434u043du0430u0437u043d achen u0434u043bu00a0 input values u043fu0440u00a0u043cu044bu0445 costthe second entrance is u0434u043bu00a0 input values of the number of jobs in the national u0445u043eu0437u00a0u0439u0441u0442u0432u0435, the third entry is the average wage of u0434u043bu00a0 input values a worker, fourth, and sixth u043fu00a0u0442u044bu0439 entrances are, respectively, u0434u043bu00a0 input rates of value added tax, social tax, tax on the income of citizens, the seventh entry is u0434u043bu00a0 input coefficient u0438u043du0444u043bu00a0u0446u0438u0438,the eighth and u0434u0435u0432u00a0u0442u044bu0439 entrances are connected, respectively, with the third and second outputs block u043cu043eu0434u0435u043bu0438u0440u043eu0432u0430u043du0438u00a0 external borrowing u0434u043bu00a0 input, respectively, u0437u0430u0434u043eu043bu0436u0435u043du043du043eu0441u0442 and the payment of interest and amounts of capital from investment, u043du0430u043fu0440u0430u0432u043bu00a0u0435u043cu044bu0445 to increase the production of goods or services, the entrance is connected with the pe u0440u0432u044bu043c exit block u0440u0430u0441u043fu0440u0435u0434u0435u043bu0435u043du0438u00a0 savings u0434u043bu00a0 input wageu043du0430u043fu0440u0430u0432u043bu00a0u0435u043cu043eu0439 for increased production of goods and services, the entrance is connected with the sixth out of u043cu043eu0434u0435u043bu0438u0440u043eu0432u0430u043du0438u00a0 coefficients input to u0440u0430u0441u043fu0440u0435u0434u0435u043bu0435u043du0438u00a0 u0434u043bu00a0 u043eu044du0444u0444u0438u0446u0438u0435u043du0442u0430 wages, u043du0430u043fu0440u0430u0432u043bu00a0u0435u043cu043eu0439 on accumulation, the first exit block u043cu043eu0434u0435u043bu0438u0440u043eu0432u0430u043du0438u00a0 full cost of production and tax is connected with a first entrance block and u0432u044bu0447u0438u0441u043bu0435u043du0438u00a0 salesthe second way is connected with the u043fu00a0u0442u044bu043c entrance block u0440u0430u0441u043fu0440u0435u0434u0435u043bu0435u043du0438u00a0 savings u0434u043bu00a0 entry wages, u043du0430u043fu0440u0430u0432u043bu00a0u0435u043cu043eu0439 on accumulation, the third way is connected with the u043fu00a0u0442u044bu043c entrance block u043cu043eu0434u0435u043bu0438u0440u043eu0432u0430u043du0438u00a0 u043fu043eu0442u0440u0435u0431u043bu0435u043du0438u00a0 u0434u043bu00a0 input contributions from wages, u043du0430u043fu0440u0430u0432u043bu00a0u0435u043cu043eu0439 consumption, fourth, and sixth u043fu00a0u0442u044bu0439 exits of taxes connected accordingly, the sixththe seventh and the eighth entrances block u043cu043eu0434u0435u043bu0438u0440u043eu0432u0430u043du0438u00a0 u043fu043eu0442u0440u0435u0431u043bu0435u043du0438u00a0, first entrance which u00a0u0432u043bu00a0u0435u0442u0441u00a0 entrance system input u0434u043bu00a0 revenues in the budget in the form of taxes and fees from the ex tailor made, and u0434u0435u0432u00a0u0442u044bu0439 entrance is connected with the first output unit u043cu043eu0434u0435u043bu0438u0440u043eu0432u0430u043du0438u00a0 external borrowing u0434u043bu00a0 input investment u043du0430u043fu0440u0430u0432u043bu00a0u0435u043cu044bu0445 u0434u043bu00a0 procurement of prepared teeth u0443u0434u043eu0432u0430u043du0438u00a0,the exit block is connected with the first u043cu043eu0434u0435u043bu0438u0440u043eu0432u0430u043du0438u00a0 u043fu043eu0442u0440u0435u0431u043bu0435u043du0438u00a0 entrance block analysis of the aggregate demand and u043fu0440u0435u0434u043bu043eu0436u0435u043du0438u00a0 and u0443u043fu0440u0430u0432u043bu0435u043du0438u00a0 process u043cu043eu0434u0435u043bu0438u0440u043eu0432u0430u043du0438u00a0, u0434u043bu00a0 aim u043du0438u00a0 input aggregate demand, the second input is connected to the first output unit which u0432u044bu0447u0438u0441u043bu0435u043du0438u00a0 sales u0434u043bu00a0 u043eu0431u0435u0441u043fu0435u0447u0435u043du0438u00a0 input aggregate pre u0434u043bu043eu0436u0435u043du0438u00a0,and the way of analysis of the aggregate demand and u043fu0440u0435u0434u043bu043eu0436u0435u043du0438u00a0 and u0443u043fu0440u0430u0432u043bu0435u043du0438u00a0 process u043cu043eu0434u0435u043bu0438u0440u043eu0432u0430u043du0438u00a0 connected, u0434u043bu00a0 u043eu0431u0435u0441u043fu0435u0447u0435u043du0438u00a0 of signals u0443u043fu0440u0430u0432u043bu0435u043du0438u00a0, u0434u0435u0441u00a0u0442u044bu043c u0432u0445u043eu0434u043e m block u043cu043eu0434u0435u043bu0438u0440u043eu0432u0430u043du0438u00a0 full cost of production and taxes, with the second entrance block u043cu043eu0434u0435u043bu0438u0440u043eu0432u0430u043du0438u00a0 u0440u0430u0441u043fu0440u0435u0434u0435u043bu0435u043du0438u00a0 coefficients and with the fourth entrance block model u0438u0440u043eu0432u0430u043du0438u00a0 external borrowing.;the second input unit u0432u044bu0447u0438u0441u043bu0435u043du0438u00a0 sales volume is connected to the first output unit u043cu043eu0434u0435u043bu0438u0440u043eu0432u0430u043du0438u00a0 coefficients u0440u0430u0441u043fu0440u0435u0434u0435u043bu0435u043du0438u00a0 u0434u043bu00a0 u043eu0431u0435u0441u043fu0435u0447u0435u043du0438u00a0 input rate of rent demonstrate the utility, the second output unit u0432u044bu0447u0438u0441u043bu0435u043du0438u00a0 sales volume is connected with the first entrance block u0440u0430u0441u043fu0440u0435u0434u0435u043bu0435u043du0438u00a0 arrived u0434u043bu00a0 u043eu0431u0435u0441u043fu0435u0447u0435u043du0438u00a0 entering its valuesthe second input unit is connected with the entrance of u0440u0430u0441u043fu0440u0435u0434u0435u043bu0435u043du0438u00a0 arrived u0434u043bu00a0 u043eu0431u0435u0441u043fu0435u0447u0435u043du0438u00a0 input tax rates on profitsthe third input is connected to the second output unit u043cu043eu0434u0435u043bu0438u0440u043eu0432u0430u043du0438u00a0 coefficients u0440u0430u0441u043fu0440u0435u0434u0435u043bu0435u043du0438u00a0 u0434u043bu00a0 u043eu0431u0435u0441u043fu0435u0447u0435u043du0438u00a0 input coefficient u0440u0430u0441u043fu0440u0435u0434u0435u043bu0435u043du0438u00a0 arrived on consumption the first output unit; u0440u0430u0441u043fu0440u0435u0434u0435u043bu0435u043du0438u00a0 are connected with the first entrance block u0440u0430u0441u043fu0440u0435u0434u0435u043bu0435u043du0438u00a0 savings u0434u043bu00a0 u043eu0431u0435u0441u043fu0435u0447u0435u043du0438u00a0 input values are designed u0434u043bu00a0 n u0430u043au043eu043fu043bu0435u043du0438u00a0, second, third and fourth entrances are connected, respectively, with the thirdthe fourth and u043fu00a0u0442u044bu043c exits the block u043cu043eu0434u0435u043bu0438u0440u043eu0432u0430u043du0438u00a0 coefficients u0440u0430u0441u043fu0440u0435u0434u0435u043bu0435u043du0438u00a0 u0434u043bu00a0 u043eu0431u0435u0441u043fu0435u0447u0435u043du0438u00a0 input coefficients u0440u0430u0441u043fu0440u0435u0434u0435u043bu0435u043du0438u00a0 accumulated profits, sixth entrance the block is connected to the entrance of the u0440u0430u0441u043fu0440u0435u0434u0435u043bu0435u043du0438u00a0 savings u0434u043bu00a0 u043eu0431u0435u0441u043fu0435u0447u0435u043du0438u00a0 input rate of depreciationa second output unit is connected to u0440u0430u0441u043fu0440u0435u0434u0435u043bu0435u043du0438u00a0 savings u043fu00a0u0442u044bu043c entrance block u043cu043eu0434u0435u043bu0438u0440u043eu0432u0430u043du0438u00a0 external borrowing u0434u043bu00a0 u043eu0431u0435u0441u043fu0435u0447u0435u043du0438u00a0 input of funds u043fu043eu0433u0430u0448u0435 u043du0438u00a0 external borrowing, the third way is connected with the sixth entrance block u043cu043eu0434u0435u043bu0438u0440u043eu0432u0430u043du0438u00a0 external borrowing u0434u043bu00a0 u043eu0431u0435u0441u043fu0435u0447u0435u043du0438u00a0 input savings through financial with a credit u043eu0440u0433u0430u043du0438u0437u0430u0446u0438u00a0u0445,the fourth way is connected with the second entrance block u043cu043eu0434u0435u043bu0438u0440u043eu0432u0430u043du0438u00a0 value fixed assets investment u0434u043bu00a0 u043eu0431u0435u0441u043fu0435u0447u0435u043du0438u00a0 input, u043du0430u043fu0440u0430u0432u043bu00a0u0435u043cu044bu0445 to create major von dov, and u043fu00a0u0442u044bu0439 exit u00a0u0432u043bu00a0u0435u0442u0441u00a0 exit from the system of savings, savings u043eu043fu0440u0435u0434u0435u043bu00a0u044eu0449u0438u0445 u0437u043du0430u0447u0435u043du0438u00a0 actors of societythe third entrance block u043cu043eu0434u0435u043bu0438u0440u043eu0432u0430u043du0438u00a0 value of fixed assets u00a0u0432u043bu00a0u0435u0442u0441u00a0 entrance system u0434u043bu00a0 u043eu0431u0435u0441u043fu0435u0447u0435u043du0438u00a0 input initial value of fixed assets, and the outlet unit u00a0u0432u043bu00a0u0435u0442u0441u00a0 exit system, u043eu043fu0440u0435u0434u0435u043bu00a0u044eu0449u0438u043c capitalization of public u0445u043eu0437u00a0u0439u0441u0442u0432u0430; first entrance block u043cu043eu0434u0435u043bu0438u0440u043eu0432u0430u043du0438u00a0 external borrowing u00a0u0432u043bu00a0u0435u0442u0441u00a0 entrance om system u0434u043bu00a0 u043eu0431u0435u0441u043fu0435u0447u0435u043du0438u00a0 input the necessary investment.the second entrance u00a0u0432u043bu00a0u0435u0442u0441u00a0 entrance system u0434u043bu00a0 u043eu0431u0435u0441u043fu0435u0447u0435u043du0438u00a0 input high interest rates on the loans or the u0434u0438u0441u043au043eu043du0442u0438u0440u043eu0432u0430u043du0438u00a0 investments, the third entrance u00a0u0432u043bu00a0u0435 u0442u0441u00a0 entrance system u0434u043bu00a0 u043fu0440u043eu0432u0435u0434u0435u043du0438u00a0 correction parameters in the block u043cu043eu0434u0435u043bu0438u0440u043eu0432u0430u043du0438u00a0 external borrowing, and u043fu00a0u0442u044bu0439 exit block u043cu043eu0434u0435u043bu0438u0440u043eu0432u0430u043du0438u00a0 external borrowing u00a0u0432u043b u00a0u0435u0442u0441u00a0 output parameter systemthe level of domestic debt u043eu043fu0440u0435u0434u0435u043bu00a0u044eu0449u0438u043c actors of the u0445u043eu0437u00a0u0439u0441u0442u0432u0430, in block u043cu043eu0434u0435u043bu0438u0440u043eu0432u0430u043du0438u00a0 u0440u0430u0441u043fu0440u0435u0434u0435u043bu0435u043du0438u00a0 coefficients based on the input data, u0441u0438u0433u043d u0430u043bu043eu0432 u0443u043fu0440u0430u0432u043bu0435u043du0438u00a0 and statistically certain input data correction, the output block u0444u043eu0440u043cu0438u0440u0443u044eu0442u0441u00a0 ratios profitability, u043fu043eu0442u0440u0435u0431u043bu0435u043du0438u00a0, reserve teeth u043eu0442u043du044bu0445 funds, the share of the profits.u043du0430u043fu0440u0430u0432u043bu00a0u0435u043cu043eu0439 debt for external u0437u0430u0438u043cu0441u0442u0432u043eu0432u0430u043du0438u00a0u043c, coefficient of u043du0430u043au043eu043fu043bu0435u043du0438u00a0 invested, u043eu043fu0440u0435u0434u0435u043bu00a0u0435u043cu044bu0439 from statistical data, the rate of zara u0431u043eu0442u043du043eu0439 fees, in the block u043cu043eu0434u0435u043bu0438u0440u043eu0432u0430u043du0438u00a0 full cost based on the input data, namely, u043fu0440u00a0u043cu044bu0445 costs, the number of jobs in the national u0445u043eu0437u00a0u0439u0441u0442u0432u0435, secondary u0437u0430u0440u0430u0431u043eu0442u043d oh, wage worker, the u0438u043du0444u043bu00a0u0446u0438u0438, tax rates.part of the fund u043du0430u043au043eu043fu043bu0435u043du0438u00a0, u043du0430u043fu0440u0430u0432u043bu00a0u0435u043cu043eu0439 on investments in the production of signals u0443u043fu0440u0430u0432u043bu0435u043du0438u00a0, interest on external u0437u0430u0438u043cu0441u0442u0432u043eu0432u0430u043du0438u00a0u043c, in wages, e.g. u0430u0432u043bu00a0u0435u043cu043eu0439 on accumulation, at the outlet of u0444u043eu0440u043cu0438u0440u0443u044eu0442u0441u00a0 u0437u043du0430u0447u0435u043du0438u00a0 full production costs, u043eu0442u0447u0438u0441u043bu0435u043du0438u00a0 from payroll to u043du0430u043au043eu043fu043bu0435u043du0438u00a0 and amount making fun sug, u043du0430u043fu0440u0430u0432u043bu00a0u0435u043cu044bu0435 at the entrances of u043cu043eu0434u0435u043bu0438u0440u043eu0432u0430u043du0438u00a0 u043fu043eu0442u0440u0435u0431u043bu0435u043du0438u00a0,in the block u0432u044bu0447u0438u0441u043bu0435u043du0438u00a0 sales on the basis of input data, such as u0437u043du0430u0447u0435u043du0438u00a0 full costs of industries, the profitability and the signals u0443u043fu0440u0430u0432u043bu0435u043du0438u00a0, in u044bu0445u043eu0434u0435 block u0432u044bu0447u0438u0441u043bu00a0u0435u0442u0441u00a0 sales of goods and services, and the importance of profit, in the block u0440u0430u0441u043fu0440u0435u0434u0435u043bu0435u043du0438u00a0 profits on the basis of input data, such as the profit tax rate n and the profit rate u043fu043eu0442u0440u0435u0431u043bu0435u043du0438u00a0, u0432u044bu0447u0438u0441u043bu00a0u044eu0442u0441u00a0 output unitnamely, a part of the profits, u043du0430u043fu0440u0430u0432u043bu00a0u0435u043cu044bu0435 respectively, consumption and accumulation, as well as a tax on profits, u043du0430u043fu0440u0430u0432u043bu00a0u0435u043cu044bu0439 at one of the entrances to the block u043cu043eu0434u0435u043bu0438u0440u043eu0432u0430u043du0438u00a0 u0442u0440u0435u0431u043bu0435u043du0438u00a0, block u0440u0430u0441u043fu0440u0435u0434u0435u043bu0435u043du0438u00a0 savings based on the input data, such as profit, u043du0430u043fu0440u0430u0432u043bu00a0u0435u043cu0430u00a0 on accumulation, u0440u0430u0441u043fu0440u0435u0434u0435u043bu0435u043du0438u00a0 factors such as u043au043eu044du0444u0444 u0438u0446u0438u0435u043du0442 reserve fund, the share of the profits.u043du0430u043fu0440u0430u0432u043bu00a0u0435u043cu043eu0439 debt for external u0437u0430u0438u043cu0441u0442u0432u043eu0432u0430u043du0438u00a0u043c invested shares, the u043du0430u043au043eu043fu043bu0435u043du0438u00a0, u043eu043fu0440u0435u0434u0435u043bu00a0u0435u043cu043eu0433u043e from statistical data, the amount of the wage bill u043du0430u043fu0440u0430u0432u043bu00a0u0435u043cu044bu0445 on accumulation, the rate of depreciation, u0444u043eu0440u043cu0438u0440u0443u044eu0442u0441u00a0 output block, namely, u0432u043bu043eu0436u0435u043du0438u00a0 in production, such as media in u0434u043bu00a0 u043fu043eu0433u0430u0448u0435u043du0438u00a0 investments, loans and interest payments.u0432u043bu043eu0436u0435u043du0438u00a0 of savings banks and financial organizations, u0430u043cu043eu0440u0442u0438u0437u0430u0446u0438u00a0 core funds, as well as u0441u0431u0435u0440u0435u0436u0435u043du0438u00a0, u043eu043fu0440u0435u0434u0435u043bu00a0u044eu0449u0438u0435 levels of savings society, on mo u0434u0435u043bu0438u0440u043eu0432u0430u043du0438u00a0 value fixed assets on the basis of input data, such as depreciation u043eu0442u0447u0438u0441u043bu0435u043du0438u00a0, u043du0430u0447u0430u043bu044cu043du0430u00a0 value of fixed assets, u0434u043eu043bu00a0 external u0437u0430u0438u043cu0441u0442u0432u043e duration (plot), u043du0430u043fu0440u0430u0432u043bu00a0u0435u043cu0430u00a0 for reconstruction and expansion of main funds.u0444u043eu0440u043cu0438u0440u0443u044eu0442u0441u00a0 weekend data block, u043eu043fu0440u0435u0434u0435u043bu00a0u044eu0449u0438u0435 value of fixed assets and capitalization of the u0445u043eu0437u00a0u0439u0441u0442u0432u0430, block u043cu043eu0434u0435u043bu0438u0440u043eu0432u0430u043du0438u00a0 external borrowing at the basis of the input data, such as the u0443u043fu0440u0430u0432u043bu0435u043du0438u00a0 necessary external u0437u0430u0438u043cu0441u0442u0432u043eu0432u0430u043du0438u00a0, u043fu043eu0433u0430u0448u0435u043du0438u00a0 external borrowing, and to u0432u043bu043eu0436u0435u043du0438u00a0 savings u0440u0435u0434u0438u0442u043du044bu0435 organizationu043fu0440u043eu0446u0435u043du0442u043du0430u00a0 rate on loans and the rate of u0434u0438u0441u043au043eu043du0442u0438u0440u043eu0432u0430u043du0438u00a0 on u0438u043du0432u0435u0441u0442u0438u0446u0438u00a0u043c, statistically u043eu043fu0440u0435u0434u0435u043bu00a0u0435u043cu044bu0445 correction coefficients, u0432u044bu0447u0438u0441u043bu00a0u044eu0442u0441u00a0 such output to an interest on external u0437u0430u0438u043cu0441u0442u0432u043eu0432u0430u043du0438u00a0u043c included the full cost of production, revolving funds from sources of external borrowing, u043du0430u043fu0440u0430u0432u043bu00a0u0435u043cu044bu0435 n and for the finished products or servicesrevolving funds from sources of external borrowing, u043du0430u043fu0440u0430u0432u043bu00a0u0435u043cu044bu0435 on costs of production or services, u0442u0435u043au0443u0449u0430u00a0 debt of u0445u043eu0437u00a0u0439u0441u0442 wa on the outer u0437u0430u0438u043cu0441u0442u0432u043eu0432u0430u043du0438u00a0u043c, block u043cu043eu0434u0435u043bu0438u0440u043eu0432u0430u043du0438u00a0 u043fu043eu0442u0440u0435u0431u043bu0435u043du0438u00a0 based on input data, namely, revenue in the form of taxes on export earnings in u044bu0445u043eu0434u0435 block u0444u043eu0440u043cu0438u0440u0443u0435u0442u0441u00a0 value amounts to consumptioncluster analysis of aggregate demand and u043fu0440u0435u0434u043bu043eu0436u0435u043du0438u00a0 based on input data, namely, aggregate demand and aggregate u043fu0440u0435u0434u043bu043eu0436u0435u043du0438u00a0 u0444u043eu0440u043cu0438u0440u0443u044eu0442u0441u00a0 output right s, the signals of u0443u043fu0440u0430u0432u043bu0435u043du0438u00a0 as absolute and relative difference between the aggregate supply and demand u0434u043bu00a0 the new cycle u043cu043eu0434u0435u043bu0438u0440u043eu0432u0430u043du0438u00a0.
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