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Being the study device which does the approximation of time series forecasting function
Being the study device which does the approximation of time series forecasting function
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机译:作为研究时间序列预测功能的近似装置
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摘要
PPROBLEM TO BE SOLVED: To learn a prediction function of time series data on a non-Markov process by a continuous-valued function approximation technique ensuring short time convergence to a global solution. PSOLUTION: For the prediction of a time series of a non-Markov process, a function F handles an (n+m)-dimensional state äzSBt/SB} where m-dimensional context information äcSBt/SB} is added to an n-dimensional learning sample äxSBt/SB}, as time series information. Since the function F is the object of learning and the context information äcSBt/SB} is unknown, the estimation of the context information äcSBt/SB} and the learning of the function F are repeated alternately to provide asymptotic approach to an ideal solution. A learning sample is predicted with the learned function F, and a learning end determination is made with an error between the predicted value and an actually input learning sample. PCOPYRIGHT: (C)2007,JPO&INPIT
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解决方案:为了预测非马尔可夫过程的时间序列,函数F处理(n + m)维状态äz t SB>},其中m维上下文信息äc< SB> t SB>}作为时间序列信息添加到n维学习样本äx t SB>}。由于函数F是学习的对象,并且上下文信息äc t SB>}是未知的,因此上下文信息äc t SB>}的估计和函数F的学习是交替重复进行操作,以提供理想解决方案的渐近方法。利用学习的函数F来预测学习样本,并且通过预测值与实际输入的学习样本之间的误差来进行学习结束确定。