Simulators situational management of risk in the public sector

摘要

the utility model belongs to the field of management, namely, the system of data analysis and modelling of the performance area intended for p the effectiveness of the implementation of the budget u043eu0432u044bu0448u0435u043du0438u044f activities under the influence of risks.the technical result is to increase the number of identified budgetary risks, accurate assessment of fiscal risks, reducing the number of errors in the analysis of rice s, limiting the range of possible scenarios for performance under the influence of fiscal risks.the situation of risk management in the public sector: the identification of fiscal risks is composed of the processes of search and identification of risks slavery and the fiscal revenue, leading to negative consequences for the parameters of the budget, and to positive, the assessment of fiscal risks, which command line parameter is in the process of evaluation at yo-o-u budget risksthe three areas: assessment of the possibility of fiscal risk, assessment of impact of fiscal risk, evaluation values of pefc u0435u0434u0441u0442u0432u0438u0439 of fiscal risk, as well as the process of identifying the possible effects of fiscal risks in the budget figures, block identification makes u0436u043du044bu0445 combinations of fiscal riskswhich consists of devices combining the possible combinations of the various fiscal risks, which makes it possible to identify all the possible combinations of u0431u044eu0434u0436 u0435u0442u043du044bu0445 risks, block the construction of scenarios of the budget, taking into account the influence of risks, which consists of device simulation of different scenarios of b. u044eu0434u0436u0435u0442u0430 depending on the integrated influence of fiscal riskscharacterized by different levels of sustainability of the budget and fiscal security.