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SUPPLEMENTATION METHOD FOR GLOBAL CLIMATE MODEL USING STOCHASTIC TYPHOON SIMULATION

机译:随机台风模拟的全球气候模型补充方法

摘要

A supplement method for a global climate model using a stochastic typhoon simulation according to one embodiment of the present invention includes the steps of: constructing a rainfall material for a typhoon simulation for a past period; reviewing the rainfall for the typhoon record affecting a basin; analyzing a statistical feature for the typhoon record; applying a Poisson distribution for simulating the number of typhoons for an estimated period; applying a Gumbel distribution for simulating the rainfall of the typhoon in the estimated period; and producing the number of typhoons and the rainfall. The present invention can solve the problem of an existing global climate model (GCM) where an extreme rainfall like a typhoon is not reflected.
机译:根据本发明的一个实施例的使用随机台风模拟的全球气候模型的补充方法包括以下步骤:为过去的台风模拟构造降雨材料;审查影响台盆的台风记录的降雨量;分析台风记录的统计特征;应用泊松分布来模拟估计时期的台风数量;应用Gumbel分布来模拟估计期间台风的降雨量;并产生台风和降雨。本发明可以解决现有的全球气候模型(GCM)的问题,在该模型中没有反映出像台风这样的极端降雨。

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