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Population dynamics estimation device of wild animals, population dynamics estimation program of wild animals and population dynamics estimation method of wild animals
Population dynamics estimation device of wild animals, population dynamics estimation program of wild animals and population dynamics estimation method of wild animals
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机译:野生动物种群动态估计装置,野生动物种群动态估计程序和野生动物种群动态估计方法
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摘要
PROBLEM TO BE SOLVED: To provide a wildlife population dynamics estimating device capable of improving accuracy of a posterior distribution and improving accuracy in wildlife population estimation by increasing setting accuracy of a prior distribution.;SOLUTION: This population dynamics estimating device 100 is a wildlife population dynamics estimating device that estimates wildlife population dynamics through Bayesian estimation of using a prior distribution about the wildlife population dynamics to derive a posterior distribution, and comprises a CPU 1 that, in a state where a kurtosis of the prior distribution is adjusted so as to correspond to the wildlife population dynamics in a first function capable of at least adjusting the kurtosis independently among an expected value, dispersion and the kurtosis which specify the prior distribution, uses the first function to generate the prior distribution of the wildlife population dynamics, and uses the prior distribution generated by adjusting the kurtosis and known data on the wildlife population dynamics to generate the posterior distribution of the wildlife population dynamics.;COPYRIGHT: (C)2015,JPO&INPIT
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