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POLICY INTRODUCTION EFFECT PREDICTION DEVICE, POLICY INTRODUCTION EFFECT PREDICTION PROGRAM AND POLICY INTRODUCTION EFFECT PREDICTION METHOD
POLICY INTRODUCTION EFFECT PREDICTION DEVICE, POLICY INTRODUCTION EFFECT PREDICTION PROGRAM AND POLICY INTRODUCTION EFFECT PREDICTION METHOD
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机译:政策介绍效果预测装置,政策介绍效果预测程序和政策介绍效果预测方法
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摘要
PROBLEM TO BE SOLVED: To improve prediction accuracy when predicting effects of policy introduction.SOLUTION: A policy introduction effect prediction device includes: a model calculation unit which calculates a calculation model on the basis of difference data calculated from time series data of an objective variable and difference data calculated from time series data of an explanatory variable: a variation calculation unit which calculates a variation of the objective variable by inputting a variation of the explanatory variable in the case of policy introduction, to the calculation model; and a predictive value calculation unit which calculates a predictive value of the objective variable in the case of policy introduction by adding the variation of the objective variable to a predictive value of the objective variable without policy introduction.SELECTED DRAWING: Figure 4
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