A precise prediction method of power generation based on expectation value calculation, power generation precision prediction system based on expected value calculation, and estimation program of power generation by expected value calculation

摘要

SubjectProblem to be solved is to accurately estimate the power generation quantity of a natural energy generating device affected by a peak cut loss.SolutionBy calculating the expected value based on the calculation, when the probability of solar radiation occurrence per unit time is used.It is a precise prediction method of power generation.Based on solar radiation dataAn insolation analysis step which determines the probability of solar radiation and solar radiation appearance.Power generation based on solar radiationPower generation forecasting step to determine the expected value of power generation based on power generation and solar radiation probability.Running a computer processor.Diagram