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Başlıca Makroekonomik Göstergelerin Gelişmekte Olan Ülkeler Tahvil Endeksi Üzerindeki Etkisi

机译:主要宏观经济指标对新兴经济体债券指数的影响

摘要

This paper examines the effects of major macroeconomic fundamentals on emerging market bond index spreads by using a panel of 25 emerging market countries’ bond index spreads and a set of macroeconomic indicators between 2000 and 2009. The findings of the study suggest that there is a positive relationship between bond index spread and foreign direct investment, inflation and a negative relationship between bond index spread and GDP, reserve in total external debt. Major determinants of the emerging markets bond index are determined by using regression analysis based on ordinary least squares method has been applied consisting of fixed effect model, random effect model, but Hausman test showed that fixed effect model is more appropriate.
机译:本文使用25个新兴市场国家的债券指数价差和一组2000年至2009年的宏观经济指标,考察了主要宏观经济基本面对新兴市场债券指数价差的影响。研究结果表明,存在积极的债券指数利差与外国直接投资之间的关系,通货膨胀以及债券指数利差与GDP,外债总额中的准备金之间呈负相关。新兴市场债券指数的主要决定因素是通过基于普通最小二乘法的回归分析确定的,该方法包括固定效应模型,随机效应模型,但Hausman检验表明固定效应模型更为合适。

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