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An empirical assessment of the economic effects of WTO accession and its commitments

机译:加入WTO对经济影响及其承诺的实证评估

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摘要

Besides facilitating access to the world market, WTO accession negotiations entail a process of domestic reforms that are expected to improve the supply side of acceding economies. However, measuring the actual impact of accession remains an empirical debate. The present paper contributes to the issue by offering a novel measure of the specific commitments made during the negotiations. These commitments often trigger a series of domestic structural transformations that are expected to impact economic growth. The accession commitment index proposed in the paper reflects the heterogenous distribution of commitments undertaken by Article XII members. This index is used to conduct a thorough statistical exploration of the effect of WTO accession on a series of variables related to economic growth, such as trade and investment. The results show that the impact of WTO membership on the Trade/GDP ratio is significantly higher than previous studies had found for developing countries, both quantitively and qualitatively. The results on investment, be it foreign or domestic, are also encouraging, but are not fully conclusive.
机译:加入世贸组织的谈判除了促进进入世界市场的便利外,还需要进行国内改革,以期改善加入经济体的供应方。但是,衡量加入的实际影响仍是一个经验性的争论。本文件通过提供谈判过程中作出的具体承诺的新颖措施,为这一问题作出了贡献。这些承诺通常会引发一系列国内结构性转变,预计将影响经济增长。本文提出的加入承诺指数反映了第XII条成员承担的承诺的不同分布。该指数用于对入世对一系列与经济增长有关的变量(如贸易和投资)的影响进行彻底的统计探索。结果表明,WTO成员对贸易/ GDP比率的影响在数量和质量上都大大高于以前对发展中国家的研究。外国或国内的投资结果也令人鼓舞,但并不完全是结论性的。

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