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A mechanism for booms and busts in housing prices

机译:房价涨跌的机制

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摘要

We study an exchange economy with overlapping generations of consumers who derive utility from consuming a non-durable commodity and housing. A banking sector offers loans to finance housing. We provide a complete characterization of the equilibrium dynamics which alternates between an expansive regime where housing prices increase and banks expand loans and a contractive regime associated with decreasing housing values and shrinking credit volume. Regime switches occur even under small but persistent income changes giving rise to large and recurrent booms and busts in housing prices not reflecting changes in fundamentals.
机译:我们研究了具有重叠的几代消费者的交换经济,这些消费者通过消费非耐用商品和住房而获得效用。银行部门提供贷款为住房融资。我们提供了均衡动态的完整描述,均衡动态在房价上涨和银行扩大贷款的扩张机制与住房价格下降和信贷量减少相关的收缩机制之间交替。即使在收入出现微小但持续的变化的情况下,也会发生政权转换,从而导致房价出现大范围和反复的繁荣与萧条,但并未反映基本面的变化。

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