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Transmission of the US subprime crisis to emerging markets: Evidence on the decoupling-recoupling hypothesis

机译:美国次贷危机传递到新兴市场:关于脱钩 - 再耦合假说的证据

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摘要

In this paper we evaluate the transmission of the US subprime crisis to emerging markets. Our interest in this topic is partly related to the widespread view that prior to the current crisis many emerging market countries had undertaken reforms that were designed to, and would in fact, insulate them from adverse shocks from the rest of the world. These policies included substantial increases in reserve assets and substantial reductions in net government debt. Moreover the currency exposure of EM governments was reduced in some cases to long dollar positions, commercial bank net foreign exchange borrowings were strictly limited and nonfinancial firms foreign currency debt was monitored and in many cases strictly controlled. Finally, emerging markets were generally experiencing current account and primary fiscal surpluses.
机译:在本文中,我们评估了美国次贷危机向新兴市场的传导。我们对这个话题的兴趣部分与广泛的观点有关,即在当前危机之前,许多新兴市场国家已经进行了旨在并实际上将它们与来自世界其他地区的不利冲击隔离的改革。这些政策包括储备资产的大幅增加和政府净债务的大幅减少。此外,在某些情况下,新兴市场政府的货币敞口减少为多头头寸,商业银行的净外汇借款受到严格限制,非金融公司的外币债务受到监控,在许多情况下受到严格控制。最后,新兴市场一般都出现经常账户和主要财政盈余。

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