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A non-parametric approach of heteroskedasticity robust estimation of Vector-Autoregressive (VAR) models

机译:矢量自回归(VaR)模型的异方差性鲁棒估计的非参数方法

摘要

This contribution studies the application of heteroskedasticity robust estimation of Vector-Autoregressive (VAR) models. VAR models have become one of the most applied models for the analysis of multivariate time series. Econometric standard software usually provides parameter estimators that are not robust against unknown forms of heteroskedasticity. Different bootstrap methodologies are available which are able to generate heteroskedasticity robust parameter estimates. However, common literature is mostly focused on univariate time series models. This study applies a natural extension of the non-parametric pairs bootstrap methodology to different VAR models, taking into account empirical stock market data of the FTSE 100, DAX 30 and S&P 500. A comparison shows that the t-values of the bootstrap models' parameters are considerably lower than the ordinary ones and that the determinants of the covariance matrices are clearly smaller.
机译:该贡献研究了矢量自回归(VAR)模型的异方差稳健估计的应用。 VAR模型已成为分析多元时间序列的最常用模型之一。计量经济学标准软件通常会提供对未知形式的异方差不可靠的参数估计器。可以使用不同的自举方法来生成异方差鲁棒性参数估计。但是,普通文献主要集中在单变量时间序列模型上。这项研究考虑了FTSE 100,DAX 30和S&P 500的经验股票市场数据,将非参数对自举方法的自然扩展应用于不同的VAR模型。比较显示自举模型的t值参数大大低于普通参数,并且协方差矩阵的行列式明显更小。

著录项

  • 作者

    Grobys Klaus;

  • 作者单位
  • 年度 2012
  • 总页数
  • 原文格式 PDF
  • 正文语种 eng
  • 中图分类

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