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Semiparametric Two-Part Models with Proportionality Constraints: Analysis of the Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis (MESA)

机译:具有比例约束的半参数两部分模型:动脉粥样硬化(MESA)的多民族研究分析

摘要

SUMMARY. In this article, we analyze the coronary artery calcium (CAC) score in the Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis (MESA), where about half of the CAC scores are zero and the rest are continuously distributed. When the observed data has a mixture distribution, two-part models can be the natural choice. With a two-part model, there are two covariate effects, with one in each part of the model. Determination of whether the two covariate effects are proportional can provide more insights into the process underlying development and progression of CAC. In this study, we model the CAC score using a semiparametric two-part model, and investigate the determination of proportionality of the covariate effects. We propose penalized maximum likelihood estimation and using thin plate splines in practical data analysis, and establish asymptotic estimation properties. We propose a step-wise hypothesis testing based approach to determine proportionality. Simulation studies suggest satisfactory finite-sample performance of the proposed approach. Analysis of the MESA data suggests that proportionality holds for all covariates except the LDL and HDL.
机译:摘要。在本文中,我们在多民族动脉粥样硬化研究(MESA)中分析了冠状动脉钙(CAC)评分,其中大约一半的CAC评分为零,其余的则连续分布。当观察到的数据具有混合分布时,可以采用两部分模型作为自然选择。对于分为两部分的模型,存在两个协变量效应,模型的每个部分都有一个。确定这两个协变量效应是否成比例可以提供对CAC发生和发展的基础过程的更多见解。在这项研究中,我们使用半参数两部分模型对CAC评分进行建模,并研究协变量效应的比例性确定。我们提出了惩罚的最大似然估计,并在实际数据分析中使用薄板样条,并建立了渐近估计性质。我们提出了一种基于逐步假设检验的方法来确定比例。仿真研究表明,该方法具有令人满意的有限样本性能。对MESA数据的分析表明,除LDL和HDL外,所有协变量的比例均成立。

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