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Some experiments on modeling stock market behavior using investor sentiment analysis and posting volume from Twitter

机译:使用投资者情绪分析和推特发布储存量的股票市场行为建模实验

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摘要

The analysis of microblogging data related with stock mar- kets can reveal relevant new signals of investor sentiment and attention. It may also provide sentiment and attention indicators in a more rapid and cost-effective manner than other sources. In this study, we created several indicators using Twitter data and investigated their value when model- ing relevant stock market variables, namely returns, trading volume and volatility. We collected recent data from nine ma jortechnologicalcompanies.Severalsentimentanaly- sis methods were explored, by comparing 5 popular lexical resources and two novel lexicons (emoticon based and the merge of all 6 lexicons) and sentiment indicators produced using two strategies (based on daily words and individual tweet classifications). Also, we measured posting volume associated with tweets related to the analyzed companies. While a short time period is considered (32 days), we found scarce evidence that sentiment indicators can explain these stock returns. However, interesting results were obtained when measuring the value of using posting volume for fit- ting trading volume and, in particular, volatility.
机译:与股票市场有关的微博数据分析可以揭示投资者情绪和注意力的相关新信号。与其他来源相比,它还可以更快,更经济高效的方式提供情绪和注意力指标。在这项研究中,我们使用Twitter数据创建了多个指标,并在对相关股市变量(即收益,交易量和波动率)建模时调查了它们的价值。我们收集了九家主要技术公司的最新数据。通过比较5种流行的词汇资源和两种新颖的词典(基于图释和所有6种词典的合并)和使用两种策略(基于日常用词和个别推文分类)产生的情感指标,探索了几种情感分析方法。此外,我们还测量了与被分析公司相关的推文相关的发帖量。尽管考虑了较短的时间段(32天),但我们发现很少有证据表明情绪指标可以解释这些股票收益。但是,在测量使用过帐量来拟合交易量,尤其是波动率的价值时,获得了有趣的结果。

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