Understanding Estimates of National Health Expenditures Under Health Reform

摘要

The report looks behind the published estimates to examine analysts' approachesto estimating future national health expenditures. It appraises the estimates of the potential effects of four provisions that may be key to modeling alternative reforms (government cost controls, managed competition and increased Health Maintenance Organization (HMO) enrollment, coverage for uninsured people, and administrative streamlining). The report compares assumptions in these areas to evidence from available research. The report also draws policy implications for congressional consideration.