New World Coming: American Security in the 21st Century. Supporting Research and211 Analysis. The Phase 1 Report on the Emerging Global Security Enivronment for the 211 First Quarter of the 21st Century

摘要

However difficult looking into the future may be, it is both necessary and211u001eirresistible. The authors have organized New World Coming in five parts. Part I, 211u001e'Global Dynamics', sketches an overview of the range of major systemic changes 211u001ethe authors see arising over the next 25 years. These are organized, in turn, 211u001eaccording to four basic categories: scientific-technological, economic, socio-211u001epolitical, and military-security. Part II, 'A World Astir', looks at regional 211u001etrends in light of global dynamics. Part III, 'The U.S. Domestic Future', 211u001eexamines what the United States itself will be like over the next quarter 211u001ecentury. Part IV, 'Worlds in Prospect', translates the analyses of the three 211u001eforegoing sections into four global scenarios. The scenarios describe the 211u001einterplay of developments in technology and economics with associated social, 211u001epolitical, and military environments. Part V, 'Major Themes and Implications,' is 211u001ea summation of the Commission's findings.