The Production and Consumption of Non-Fuel Minerals to the Year 2030 Analyzed within an Input-Output Framework of the U.S. and World Economy (Techniques for Consistent Forecasting of Future Demand for Major Minerals Using an Input-Output Framework)

摘要

A study was undertaken to project a set of future production and consumption levels of 26 major non-fuel minerals for the U.S. and the world economy to the year 2030. Alternative assumptions regarding future U.S. and world economic growth and structural change are discussed. The main methodological tools used in the study were the 1972 Input-Output Table of the U.S. Economy and a revised version of the U.N. World Input-Output Model. Discussions of the role of resources in the economy, a review of past U.S. minerals policies, and a summary of previous studies undertaken to project future minerals requirements are included. Problems of potential resource imbalances are addressed.