Multiobjective Reservoir Operation Using Forecasts of Water Supply and Water Use

摘要

The study develops operating rules for water supply and flood control. The water use forecast system that is developed is based on a time series model of water use. The model is termed a conditional autoregressive model and can be viewed as an autoregressive model with random mean. Nonparametric techniques are developed for water supply forecasting. Procedures are applied to reservoir management problems in the Potomac River Basin.