Food Aid Projections for the Decade of the 1990s. Report of an AD Hoc Panel Meeting. Held in Washington, DC. on October 6-7, 1988

摘要

The food aid projections and forecasting methodologies of six principal institutions engaged in food commodity analysis are compared in the workshop report and led to the following principal findings: doubling of food aid (over current levels of about 10 million mt per year) would be necessary to meet projected market needs throughout the 1990's; projected nutritional needs for the year 2000 are estimated at four times the current level; and there is no evidence that the greenhouse effect will exert a measurable influence on food production in the next decade. The report recommends that the development of forecasting methods which allow for the effects of natural disasters be made a research priority. It also states that Africa will continue to be the important focus of concern for food aid because of continuing conflict, locust plagues, cycles of drought and flood, and low economic growth combined with high rates of population growth.