Impact of Alternative Nuclear Moratorium Legislation on the US Economy

摘要

This study analyzes the potential economic impact of policies which would contain or halt the introduction of additional nuclear electricity plants as well as the operation of currently existing nuclear plants. First a Base Case set of energy and economic projections for 1985 is estimated under the assumption that by 1985 174.2 gigawatts of nuclear electric capacity will be available to the economy. Then the impacts of four potential nuclear policies on these Base Case economic and energy projections are estimated. Two of the four nuclear policies would decrease the expected 1975 to 1985 growth rate of nuclear capacity expansion, one would keep nuclear capacity in 1985 at the present 36.1 gigawatt amount, and one would phase out all nuclear capacity by 1985.