Regional Application of Fossil Energy Technologies: An Analytical Approach. Final Report

摘要

Energy supply/demand profiles are presented for the 50 states and the nine US census regions using 1974 statistics. These profiles include quantity and type of energy reserves, annual primary resource production, and consumption by end-use sector. Each state's and region's energy balance is presented for fossil fuels, quantitatively designating the state or region as a net importer or exporter of these fuels. Finally, the dependence of each consumption sector on each energy source is tabulated. A major part of the project was devoted to the development of a method for use by energy planners in assessing the effects of policy decisions on energy profiles. A series of energy indices is derived for each census region. The indices are defined to include the effect of consumption of relatively scarce fuels (oil and gas) versus plentiful fuels (coal). The fuel-weighting factors, incorporated into the indices, are based upon national depletion rates, i.e., production. The energy indices technique can be used as a basis for comparisons between consumption sectors in a region, similar sectors in two or more regions, etc. A number of fossil-energy technologies under development at DOE are described. The potential impact of the maturation of these technologies on each census region's energy posture is discussed in conjuncton with any regional constraints that may exist. Finally, a number of sample what if scenarios are discussed and the impact of fossil-fuel replacements on national, regional, and sector energy consumption quantitatively assessed. (ERA citation 05:010238)