Modeling Energy/Economy Interactions for Conservation and Renewable Energy-Policy Analysis

摘要

The philosophy behind energy policy in the Pre-Reagan Era and the implications for policy analysis and the methodological tools are briefly discussed. The evolution of one methodological approach, the combined modeling system employed by Brookhaven National Laboratory, in conjunction with Dale W. Jorgenson Associates, and recently Oak Ridge National Laboratory, is presented. A report is given of the component models, their evolution in response to changing analytic needs, and the development of the integrated framework. Summaries of the analyses performed over the past several years for the office of the Assistant Secretary for Conservation and Renewable Energy are also presented. Then, the current philosophy behind energy policy is discussed and compared to recent history. Implications for current policy analysis and methodological approaches are drawn.