Cost Estimates and Cost-Forecasting Methodologies for Selected Nonconventional Electrical-Generation Technologies

摘要

Mutally consistent cost estimates of alternative electricity generating technologies and renewable-resource technologies for use in California were developed. Status summaries, technical descriptions, reference systems, and component cost estimates were prepared for wind, liquid dominated geothermal, industrial cogeneration, fuel cells, and solar thermal electric systems. A costing methodology consistent with those used by the Electric Power Research Institute and the California Energy Commission was developed and documented back to first principles for use in estimating the cost of electricity. The costing methodology considers both the effect of maturity and the great deal of uncertainty inherent in the cost estimates for these developing technologies. Busbar power costs are estimated for each technology in 1980, 1985, 1990, 1992, and 2000. (ERA citation 09:004845)