Uncertainties of Environment Models in Public Health and Environmental Protection: Foreign Trip Report, March 3-10, 1989.

摘要

This report describes the foreign travel of Robert H. Gardner who attended a workshop, ''Uncertainty and Sensitivity Analysis,'' organized by Rijksinstitute voor Volksgezondheid en Milieuhygine (the National Institute of Public Health and Environmental Protection (RIVM)) at RIVM headquarters in Bilthoven, The Netherlands. R. H. Gardner was invited by RIVM to present a series of lectures concerning the past work by ESD personnel on the theory and methods of assessing the uncertainties associated with environmental models. R. H. Gardner was also invited to visit a nearby institute, Rijksinstituut voor Natuurbeheer (Research Institute for Nature Management (RIN)) and discuss new developments of theoretical methods in landscape ecology with Paul Opdam and his staff. Environmental problems at local, regional, and global scales are receiving a great deal of attention by the public, press, and politicians in The Netherlands because of recent publications by RIVM. The workshop attempted to address the important issues of estimating the uncertainties of the model that RIVM uses to make their assessments. The speakers for the workshop represented a diverse array of specialists in the field of model development and analysis.