Regional Value Analysis at Threat Evaluation

摘要

It is necessary to make threat evaluation effectively in order to assign weapon at air defense management. The threat analysis which is made for defending assets more than one or a region and for only one asset is different. Also in classical threat analysis in case of both threats' parameters being the same, the priority is the same. In the threat evaluation importance of asset is ignored. When the importance of the asset is determined, it is necessary to determine the threat's target to identify threat's priority. Although it is possible to perform the target detection massive information is needed as there are too many parameters and variables. Difficulties and possibilities of providing this information makes it impossible to be more realistic target identification. Also the reliability of the model in which the threat's target detected decreases. Consequently, target detection is needed rather than any other consideration. Literature study on threat evaluation is made, there is not a similar study found in the literature and a new model is put forth to eliminate the deficiency identified in this study. Studied model is not a different threat evaluation method. The model is done to perform more effective regional air defense threat evaluation. Regional value will provide input as a parameter in any desired models. At the first stage of model, the importance degrees of targets are identified. Then regional value analysis is made according to importance of assets. As a result of analysis a regional value map is generated. The region value is given according to threat's grid. Thus, the threats having the same parameters are provided priority according to the value of their region's value. The threat evaluation made for weapon assignment is done more accurate and the possible damage is minimized.