Libya After Qaddafi: Lessons and Implications for the Future.

摘要

This report assesses Libya s first two years after the fall of Muammar Qaddafi in 2011. It analyzes key developments in political, military, and economic areas, and explains the role of the international community. Drawing on existing literature on civil wars and post-conflict reconstruction, it outlines steps the international community might take to improve Libya s future outlook and draws some tentative conclusions about the implications of Libya s experience for future postconflict reconstruction efforts. A particular focus is the consequences of the failure to establish security in the immediate aftermath of the war. The situation in Libya is dynamic and continues to develop, as do the policies of Libya s international supporters who have been involved in helping Libya manage a very difficult transition from war to peace. The work was begun in 2012. This is the final report of the project, and takes into account developments through early 2014. Funding was provided by the Smith Richardson Foundation. The research was conducted within the International Security and Defense Policy Center of the RAND National Security Research Division (NSRD). NSRD conducts research and analysis on defense and national security topics for the U.S. and allied defense, foreign policy, homeland security, and intelligence communities and foundations and other nongovernmental organizations that support defense and national security analysis.