Improved Decision Making in an Environment of Extreme Uncertainty through the Application of Augmented Cognition; Conference paper

摘要

The hypothesis of this paper is as follows: Uncertainty and inconsistency during complex endeavors can be reduced through the application of augmented cognition. An analysis of the genealogy of modern decision aides leads one to conclude that we should only be discussing the capability spectrum of intelligent software agents. We believe that this represents a limited view of the field of automated decision aides and assisted cognition. Instead of asking how smart the software agents can become, we would like to propose the following question: Can we make the human being smarter. Is it possible to improve cognitive functions inside the mind resulting in better selections of decision alternatives and interpretations of events. Is it possible to radically alter human training, development, and education to optimize the potential of every individual. The authors believe that the processes and tools being developed in the emerging field of augmented cognition can be exploited to provide a novel fusion of more capable human beings and exotic software agents. This fusion should result in breakthrough levels of situational awareness and superior decision making in environments of extreme uncertainty.