A Study of Connected Replenishment at Sea Based on Load Requirements Through Data Analysis and Computer Simulation

摘要

By analyzing CONREP data for oiler (AO) and ammunition (AE) ships replenishing destroyers (DD) and attack carriers (CVA) with regard to day and night operation and load requirement, it is shown through Chi-Square goodness-of-fit tests that alongside time data can be fitted to an Erlang or exponential distribution. In addition, several methods for estimating the shape, scale, and shift parameters for gamma and Erland distributions are presented. Employing well known but analytically little used features of the replenishment operation, a computer simulation model is then formulated and programmed based on these distributions, and thus sensitive to changes in load requirements. Using the simulation as an experimental device, an example is run to demonstrate its use in estimating the time to complete the operation and conducting sensitivity analyses on the various load requirements. (Author)