A Survey and Analysis of Military Computer-Based Training Systems: (A Two Part Study). Volume II. A Descriptive and Predictive Model for Evaluating Instructional Systems.

摘要

Within the context of military training system development, the question of how to assess the cost versus expected benefits of innovations in training technology has become of major importance. Before this question can be answered, it must first be demonstrated that both the cost and the benefits of such innovations can be quantitatively measured. Then it must be demonstrated that accurate predictions can be made with regard to development and operational costs, training effectiveness, and expected timesavings. Three separate activities were undertaken to solve this problem. The first was to define a descriptive model of a generalized, computer-based training system. The second step was generation of a predictive model of student performance in a computer-based training environment. The third activity was to develop a computer program which incorporated the predictive model and estimated the cost of implementing and operating this particular, innovative training technique, i.e., conversion from conventional lock-step to self-paced, computer-based instruction.