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BPOLD: errors in incidence?

机译:BPOLD:发生率有误吗?

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To the Editor:Registries such as British Paediatric Orphan Lung Disease (BPOLD) offer considerable potential for both improving our understanding of disease incidence and also fostering interest in these conditions. BPOLD's recent publication is significant, however, I believe there are systematic errors in their calculation of incidence. Assuming a United Kingdom under 16-year-old population of ~12 million children the incidence figures should be ~l/10th of those quoted (Table 1, page 452). For example, 23 (unconfirmed) cases of "bronchiectasis of unknown cause" were reported in the 12-month period. The annual incidence should therefore be approximately 0.2 (rather than the 2.1 quoted) per 100,000 under 16-year olds.
机译:致编者:诸如英国小儿孤儿肺病(BPOLD)之类的注册表提供了巨大的潜力,既可以增进我们对疾病发病率的了解,也可以激发人们对这些疾病的兴趣。 BPOLD的最新出版物具有重要意义,但是,我认为在其发病率计算中存在系统性错误。假设英国16岁以下人口约为1200万儿童,其发病率应约为所引用人数的1/10(第452页,表1)。例如,在12个月内报告了23例(未经证实)“原因不明的支气管扩张”病例。因此,年发病率应约为16岁以下每100,000人的0.2(而不是引用的2.1)。

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