Not getting burned: the importance of fire prevention in forest management.

摘要

We extend existing stand-level models of forest landowner behaviour in the presence of fire risk to include the level and timing of fuel management activities. These activities reduce losses if a stand ignites. Based on simulations, it was found that the standard result that fire risk reduces the optimal rotation age does not hold when landowners use fuel management. Instead, the optimal rotation age rises as fire risk increases. The optimal planting density decreases. The level of intermediate fuel treatment, but not its timing, was sensitive to the magnitude of fire risk. Cost-sharing was shown to be an effective instrument for encouraging fuel treatment..