Trend in Pacific walrus (Odobenus rosmarus divergens) tusk asymmetry, 1990-2014

摘要

We used the basal circumference of Pacific walrus (Odobenus rosmarus divergens) tusks (upper canine teeth, n = 21,068 pairs) to estimate fluctuating asymmetry (FA1 index) from 1990 to 2014. The mean difference in circumference between paired tusks was -0.006 (SEM = 0.002) cm and approximately normally distributed. Measurement error was 0.6 (0.02)%, similar between biologists and lay persons (P = 0.83), and 15% of FA1. Tusk FA1 was greatest in 1990 then declined by 56% (P = 0.0001) through 2014. Male and female trends differed (P = 0.0001) and male FA1 was 40% greater (P = 0.0001) and the rate of decline 28% steeper (P = 0.3) than females. A quartic polynomial model (r(2) = 0.66, w(i) = 0.685) fit the trend for female data better than simpler forms, whereas a linear model (r(2) = 0.55, w(i) = 0.693) was a better fit for male data. Walrus tusk FA1 reflected periods when the population was stressed due to food limitations and then recovered, and perhaps when females began to experience the loss of preferred sea ice habitat in summer and FA1 is an easily monitored indicator. More work is needed to confirm the link between FA1, individual fitness, and adaptive potential.