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Trade policy shocks in the UK textile and apparel value chain: Firm perceptions of Brexit uncertainty

机译:英国纺织品和服装价值链中的贸易政策冲击:英国退欧不确定性的坚定看法

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Since the 2008 economic and financial crisis, the rise of populism and nationalism has been associated with increased protectionism and policy uncertainty in the world trade system, with profound side effects for international business (IB) activities and global value chains (GVCs). The aim of this paper is to investigate the way trade policy uncertainty linked to Brexit has affected firms' behaviors along the GVC of the UK textile and apparel (T&A) industry. We draw upon data from an original survey carried out between June 2019 and January 2020 with 688 firms amongst UK T&A manufacturers, designers, and retailers to grasp their perception of Brexit uncertainty. We show that the uncertainty over trade policy between the UK and the EU - started in the wake of the 2016 referendum - has affected a significant number of firms operating upstream and downstream of the UK T&A value chain, which shows clear signs of ongoing restructuring. Our findings also provide some preliminary evidence of the way the (perceived) effects of trade policy uncertainty may vary depending on firms' position, production phase, and degree of integration in the GVC. Policy directions for supporting the UK T&A value chain post-Brexit and implications for future IB research are discussed.
机译:自2008年经济和金融危机以来,民粹主义和民族主义的兴起与世界贸易体系中的保护主义和政策不确定性有关,对国际业务(IB)活动(IB)活动和全球价值链(GVC)产生了深远的副作用。本文的目的是调查与英国退欧相关的贸易政策不确定性的方式,影响了沿英国纺织和服装行业的GVC行为的行为。我们借鉴了2019年6月至2020年1月在英国T&A制造商,设计师和零售商中有688家公司的原始调查数据,以掌握其对英国退欧不确定性的看法。我们表明,英国与欧盟之间的贸易政策的不确定性(始于2016年全民公决)影响了英国T&A价值链上游和下游运营的大量公司,这表明了持续的重组迹象。我们的发现还提供了一些初步证据,证明了贸易政策不确定性的(感知)影响可能会因公司在GVC中的地位,生产阶段和整合程度而有所不同。讨论了支持英国T&A价值链后脱欧后的政策指示以及对未来IB研究的影响。

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