Empirical analysis of energy consumption transfer in China's national economy from the perspective of production and demand

摘要

Given the context of the global energy shortage and the deterioration of the ecological environment, this paper uses industrial linkage as a starting point to deeply explore the energy consumption of different sectors and its transfer characteristics. First, a dual evaluation of energy consumption in various sectors is conducted from the perspectives of production and demand to realize an integrated analysis from the energy consumption perspective. Second, based on industrial linkage, the economic input-output life cycle assessment (EIO-LCA) model is used to quantify the net transfer of energy consumption and identify the transfer of energy consumption pressure embodied in economic activities by various sectors. Finally, the energy consumption of various sectors is decomposed, and the transfer flow of energy consumption is measured to accurately quantify the degree of linkage in the energy consumption of sectors. The results show that the current direct energy consumption intensity of various sectors in China is continuously decreasing, but this decrease is insufficient to reverse the upward trend in energy consumption demand. From the perspective of production and demand, non-energy industrial sector is a key sector for reducing energy consumption, and the intersectoral linkage between the subsectors caused by product trade flows has a greater impact on the level of direct and embodied energy consumption. Direct and embodied energy consumption in the same sector can be ranked quite differently, and their levels may not be equal. Energy sector is the main net outflow sector of energy consumption, and the level of its direct energy consumption is much higher than that of its embodied energy consumption. It is worth noting that the scale of embodied energy consumption in construction industry is much higher than the scale of direct energy consumption. Construction is the sector with the greatest net inflow of energy consumed and is the main driver of the energy consumption transfer of energy sector and non-energy industrial sector.