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Activity-based Model For A Medium Sized Citv: Sacramento

机译:中型Citv基于活动的模型:萨克拉曼多

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This paper presents a regional travel forecasting model system called SACSIM, used by the Sacramento (California) Area Council of Governments (SACOG) for planning and air quality analysis. SACSIM includes an integrated econometric microsimulation of personal activities and travel with a disaggregate treatment of activity purpose, time and location. Figure 1 shows the major SACSIM components. The Population Synthesizer creates a synthetic population, comprised of households drawn from the US Census Public Use Microdata Sample (PUMS~*) and allocated to parcels. Long-term choices (work location, school location and auto ownership) are simulated for all members of the population. The Person Day Activity and Travel Simulator then creates a one-day activity and travel schedule for each person in the population, including a list of their tours and the trips on each tour. These components, together called DAYSIM and implemented in a single custom software program, consist of a hierarchy of multinomial logit and nested logit models. The models within DAYSIM are connected by adherence to an assumed conditional hierarchy, and by the use of accessibility logsums. The trips predicted by DAYSIM are aggregated into matrices and combined with predicted trips for special generators, external trips and commercial traffic into time- and mode-specific trip matrices. The 'network traffic assignment models load the trips onto the network. Traffic assignment is iteratively equilibrated with DAYSIM and the other demand models.
机译:本文介绍了一个称为SACSIM的区域旅行预测模型系统,该系统由萨克拉曼多(加利福尼亚)政府区域委员会(SACOG)用于计划和空气质量分析。 SACSIM包括对个人活动和旅行的集成计量经济学微观模拟,并分别分类了活动目的,时间和位置。图1显示了主要的SACSIM组件。人口合成器创建一个合成人口,包括从美国人口普查公共用途微数据样本(PUMS〜*)中抽取并分配给包裹的家庭。模拟了所有人口的长期选择(工作地点,学校所在地和汽车所有权)。然后,“人日活动和旅行模拟器”为人口中的每个人创建一日活动和旅行时间表,包括他们的旅行清单以及每次旅行的旅行。这些组件一起称为DAYSIM,并在单个定制软件程序中实现,由多项式logit和嵌套logit模型的层次结构组成。 DAYSIM中的模型通过遵守假定的条件层次结构以及使用可访问性对数进行连接。 DAYSIM预测的行程汇总到矩阵中,并与针对特殊发电机的预测行程,外部行程和商业流量组合为特定时间和模式的行程矩阵。 “网络流量分配模型”将行程加载到网络上。交通分配与DAYSIM和其他需求模型进行迭代平衡。

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