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WORLD ECONOMY

机译:世界经济

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With US stocks hitting record highs on the back of strong jobs' growth, the European Central Bank holding out the prospect of printing money and British house prices soaring, there is a lot to ponder in the week to come. The Dow Jones index breached 17,000 for the first time last week, days after the Bank for International Settlements - the global forum for central banks - said that markets were in a "euphoric" state and that keeping interest rates too low for too long could sow the seeds of another crisis. In fact, the world's major central banks are operating at different speeds and, in some cases, are on opposing paths. The Bank of England is highly unlikely to lift interest rates from a record low 0.5% after its monthly policy meeting on Thursday, but it is looking increasingly certain to be the first major central bank to tighten policy. The US Federal Reserve is winding up its money-printing programme but seems comfortable leaving rates low until well into next year. The European Central bank cut rates last month and may yet have to resort to quantitative easing to ward off deflation. The European Central Bank faces a very different threat deflation. Hours after ECG president Mario Draghi held out the prospect of printing euros to rev up the economy, Bundesbank chief Jens Weidmann broke cover to say the ECG should not leave policy loose for too long. Chinese and US officials will hold talks in Beijing on July 9-10 with Washington again calling on Beijing to do more to allow the market to set the value of its yuan currency.
机译:在就业强劲增长的推动下,美国股市创下历史新高,欧洲央行(ECB)支持印钞的前景以及英国房价飙升,因此在接下来的一周中有很多事情需要考虑。道琼斯指数上周首次突破17,000点,此前几天,国际清算银行-中央银行全球论坛-表示市场处于“欣欣向荣”的状态,而将利率长期维持在太低的水平可能会撒播另一场危机的种子。实际上,世界主要中央银行的运行速度不同,在某些情况下,它们的发展方向相反。在周四举行的每月政策会议之后,英格兰银行极不可能将利率从创纪录的低点0.5%上调,但它似乎越来越肯定将成为首个收紧政策的主要央行。美联储(Fed)正在清算其印钞计划,但将利率维持低水平直到明年才放心。欧洲中央银行上个月降息,但可能仍需采取量化宽松政策以抵御通缩。欧洲中央银行面临着截然不同的威胁通缩。在ECG总裁马里奥·德拉吉(Mario Draghi)提出印刷欧元以提振经济的前景几小时后,德国央行行长延斯·魏德曼(Jens Weidmann)便掩盖了理由,表示ECG不应放任政策太长时间。中美两国官员将于7月9日至10日在北京举行会谈,华盛顿再次呼吁北京做更多事情,以允许市场确定其人民币汇率。

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    《Textile Industry of India》 |2014年第7期|9-11|共3页
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