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Short-term and long-term dynamics of venture capital and economic growth in a digital economy: A study of European countries

机译:数字经济中风险投资和经济增长的短期和长期动态:欧洲国家的研究

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摘要

There has been a significant transformation in the diffusion of information and communication technology (ICT), development of the venture capital industry, and economic growth in European countries over the past three decades. Using vector error-correction modelling, we examine the possible interrelations between venture capital investment, ICT infrastructure, and economic growth, based on annual data from 25 European countries between 1989 and 2016. Specifically, we examine the direction of Granger causality between these variables. We find that the variables are cointegrated. Our empirical results also illustrate that both economic growth and the development of ICT infrastructure impact all stages of venture capital investment (early, late, and overall VC investment) in the long run. The study also shows that economic growth and late-stage venture capital investment impact internet usage; and internet usage and late-stage venture capital impact economic growth in the long run. The results also reveal strong inter-linkages between the variables in the short run. Overall, empirical results suggest that policy-makers should give special attention to an integrated policy approach for the co-development of the ICT infrastructure, venture capital, and economic growth in Europe.
机译:信息和通信技术(ICT)的扩散,风险投资行业的发展,欧洲国家的经济增长,在过去三十年中存在重大转变。使用矢量纠错建模,我们根据1989年至2016年之间的25个欧洲国家的年度数据检查风险投资投资,ICT基础设施和经济增长之间可能的相互关系。具体来说,我们在这些变量之间检查了格兰杰因果关系的方向。我们发现变量结合了。我们的经验结果还说明,经济增长和ICT基础设施的发展影响了在长期运行中对风险投资(早期,晚期和整体VC投资)的所有阶段影响。该研究还表明,经济增长和后期风险投资投资影响互联网使用情况;和互联网使用和后期风险投资从长远来看会影响经济增长。结果还揭示了在短期内变量之间的强烈互联。总体而言,实证结果表明,政策制定者应特别注意欧洲信息通信技术基础设施,风险投资和经济增长的共同发展综合政策方法。

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