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The role of demographics in small business loan pricing

机译:人口统计学在小企业贷款定价中的作用

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摘要

Demographic change influences the structure of the entrepreneurially active population, which may affect credit risk and financing conditions of small firms. Using bank internal data of small business loans in Germany, we find that the lending relationship plays a larger role for loan prices than demographics. Loan rates decrease with soft information gained through longer loan processing time and a larger number of accounts at the same bank. They increase with hard information about repayment arrears and reminders. Late payments have the largest influence on loan prices. Older entrepreneurs do not seem to be discriminated. Rather, the younger have to pay more because their loans and businesses are smaller and they lack liquidity to pay in time. Marital status and population density of the business district do not matter. This is good news for aging economies with a rising share of elderly and singles and growing disparities between peripheral and agglomerated regions.
机译:人口变化会影响企业家活动人口的结构,这可能会影响小企业的信用风险和融资状况。使用德国小企业贷款的银行内部数据,我们发现贷款关系对贷款价格的影响比人口统计的影响更大。通过更长的贷款处理时间和同一家银行的大量帐户获得的软信息,贷款利率会降低。随着关于欠款和催款的硬信息的增加,它们会增加。逾期付款对贷款价格的影响最大。老企业家似乎并没有受到歧视。相反,年轻人必须支付更多的费用,因为他们的贷款和业务规模较小,并且他们缺乏及时支付流动性的能力。商业区的婚姻状况和人口密度无关紧要。对于老龄化和单身人群所占比例不断增加以及外围地区和集聚地区之间差距越来越大的老龄化经济体而言,这是个好消息。

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