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2016 forecast: 61,000 rail-car deliveries

机译:2016年预测:61,000辆铁路车交付

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摘要

People often say, "What a difference a year makes!" Well, in the world of rail cars, lately it's been more like "What a difference a year and a half makes!" Back in June 2014, the rail equipment market was dominated by the energy industry, which had a seemingly unending appetite for crude oil tank cars and frac sand covered hoppers. The demand for new rail cars to support the energy industry was still strong. Oil prices were at or above $100 per barrel (bbl). The Bakken-West Texas Intermediate (WTI) spread was above $15 per bbl. New rail-car orders were rising. Builders were increasing production rates, deliveries were growing and the backlog was just short of 100,000 cars. The tank-car fleet was almost 100 percent utilized. Lease rates, new car prices and margins were strong. And the rail equipment sector was being rewarded by Wall Street with favorable valuations and rising stock prices.
机译:人们经常说:“一年有何不同!”好吧,在轨道车领域,最近更像是“一年半的变化!”早在2014年6月,铁路设备市场就由能源行业主导,能源行业似乎对原油罐车和压裂砂料斗的需求永无止境。对支持能源行业的新型轨道车的需求仍然强劲。石油价格达到或超过每桶100美元(桶)。 Bakken-West Texas Intermediate(WTI)点差超过每桶15美元。新的铁路车辆订单正在增加。建筑商正在提高生产率,交付量也在增长,积压的汽车数量不足10万辆。坦克车队的使用率几乎达到100%。租赁率,新车价格和利润率都很强劲。华尔街对铁路设备行业的评价也很好,股价也不断上涨。

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