A LONG TERM EVALUATION OF NUCLEAR POWER TECHNOLOGY BY EXTENDED DICE+e MODEL SIMULATIONS - MULTIREGIONAL APPROACH FOR RESOURCE AND INDUSTRY ALLOCATION (MARIA) MODEL

摘要

A model approach for the long term evaluation of policy options for the global warming is described. Since Nordhaus's DICE model consists of one region and lacks energy flow sector, the author here imposes energy flows and divides the world into three regions, say Japan, other OECD and others. This model shows us that GHG concentration increases global average temperature by 3-3.5℃ and the carbon tax rises to 450$/tC when carbon emission is stabilized at the 1990 level.