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Simulating dynamical features of escape panic

机译:模拟逃生恐慌的动力学特征

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摘要

One of the most disastrous forms of collective human behaviour is the kind of crowd stampede induced by panic, often leading to fatalities as people are crushed or trampled. Sometimes this behaviour is triggered in life-threatening situations such as fires in crowded buildings; at other times, stampedes can arise during the rush for seats or seemingly without cause. Although engi- neers are finding ways to alleviate the scale of such disasters, their frequency seems to be increasing with the number and size of mass events. But systematic studies of panic behaviour and quantitative theories capable of predicting such crowd dynamics are rare. Here we use a model of pedestrian behaviour to investigate the mechanisms of (and preconditions for) panic and jamming by uncoordinated motion in crowds. Our simulations suggest practical ways to prevent dangerous crowd pressures. Moreover, we find an optimal strategy for escape from a smoke-filled room, involving a mixture of individualistic behaviour and collective 'herding' instinct.
机译:集体人类行为中最灾难性的一种形式是由恐慌引起的人群踩踏事件,当人们被压碎或践踏时,通常会导致死亡。有时,这种行为是在威胁生命的情况下触发的,例如在拥挤的建筑物中起火;在其他时间,踩踏或看似无故的时候可能会出现踩踏现象。尽管工程师们正在寻找减轻此类灾难规模的方法,但其发生率似乎随着大规模事件的数量和规模而增加。但是,对恐慌行为和能够预测这种人群动态的定量理论的系统研究很少。在这里,我们使用行人行为模型来研究人群中不协调运动引起的恐慌和拥挤的机制(和前提)。我们的模拟提出了预防危险人群压力的实用方法。此外,我们找到了一种从烟雾弥漫的房间中逃脱的最佳策略,其中涉及个人主义行为和集体“羊群化”本能的混合。

著录项

  • 来源
    《Nature》 |2000年第6803期|p.487-490|共4页
  • 作者单位
  • 收录信息 美国《科学引文索引》(SCI);美国《工程索引》(EI);美国《生物学医学文摘》(MEDLINE);美国《化学文摘》(CA);
  • 原文格式 PDF
  • 正文语种 eng
  • 中图分类 自然科学总论;
  • 关键词

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