Executive Summaries: UNDERSTANDING THE IMPACT OF SOCIOECONOMIC FACTORS ON NAVY ACCESSIONS

摘要

It has been reported that 71 percent of America's youth, aged 17-24, are unqualified for military service. The health of the US economy is improving with increased employment opportunities in the private and public sectors. From 2000 to 2015, the percentage of Americans aged 25+ with a bachelor's degree increased from 12.2 to 14.9 percent. Military leadership is competing with civilian firms and universities to enlist qualified candidates and meet congressionally mandated annual accession goals in a shrinking market. Military recruiters can mitigate the negative impact on accessions goals by precisely identifying the most prolific areas for accessions and efficiently allocating their resources. Brad Intrater, Jon Alt, Sam Buttrey, and Jeff House developed and validated multivariate linear regression models and zero-inflated negative binomial (ZINB) models using open source socioeconomic data. Their models identify the factors driving recruitment and predict the number of accessions from a geographic area. The results of their work will enable military recruitment leadership to more efficiently and precisely position resources in multiple markets to maximize accessions per recruiter.