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Tourism and Economic Growth

机译:旅游业与经济增长

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摘要

Whether international tourism can lead to economic growth is an important macroeconomic question for both policy makers and investors. We extend the literature by investigating if tourism development is an additional determinant of income in the presence of the standard income determinants (such as capital accumulation), or if the effects of tourism development on economic growth work through the standard income determinants, instead. Empirically, we develop a tourism-growth model that is an extension of Solow (1956) and estimate our model with a cross-section of 109 countries. Our findings indicate that investments in tourism in and of itself appear to be insufficient for economic growth. Instead, tourism's contribution to the long-term growth of an economy comes through its role as an integral part of a broader development strategy that is more generally focused on standard income determinants.
机译:对于决策者和投资者而言,国际旅游能否带动经济增长是一个重要的宏观经济问题。我们通过研究在标准收入决定因素(例如资本积累)存在下旅游业发展是否是收入的附加决定因素,或者通过标准收入决定因素来研究旅游业发展对经济增长的影响,从而扩展了文献。根据经验,我们开发了旅游增长模型,该模型是Solow(1956)的扩展,并用109个国家的横截面估计了我们的模型。我们的发现表明,对旅游业的投资本身似乎不足以促进经济增长。取而代之的是,旅游业对经济的长期增长做出的贡献是通过其作为更广泛的发展战略不可或缺的一部分来实现的,该战略更普遍地侧重于标准收入决定因素。

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