Probabilistic Human Health Risk Assessment for Quarterly Exposure to High Chloroform Concentrations in Drinking-Water Distribution Network of the Province of Quebec, Canada

摘要

Because quarterly concentrations of total trihalomethanes (THM) exceeding the 80 μg/L guideline are often tolerated by the public health authorities of the Province of Quebec (Canada), this study examined whether quarterly episodes of high concentrations of THM may pose a risk to the health of its population. Using Monte Carlo simulations, a probabilistic risk assessment was performed for infants (0-<6 mo), toddlers (6 mo-80 μg/L), the 95th percentile value of RQ were 0.65, 0.46, and 0.24 for infants, toddlers, and adults, respectively. Back-calculation allowed determining that a chloroform concentration of 330 μg/L would result in RQ ≤ 1 for 99% of infants, the subgroup considered the most susceptible among the general population. Overall, this study showed that episodes of high THM concentration encountered in Quebec drinking-water distribution network need not be considered as an immediate health concern for the general population. However, these results should not be interpreted as an authorization to exceed the 80 μg/L standard but rather as a risk management tool for public health authorities.