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Drivers at fault: influences of age, sex, and vehicle type

机译:驾驶员有过失:年龄,性别和车辆类型的影响

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摘要

Using log-linear modeling techniques, the probability of fault among colli- sion-involved drivers in Hawaii is related to three categorical variables; age, sex, and vehicle type. Very young and very old drivers face up to three times the risk of being at fault compared to middle-aged drivers. Substantial gender effects also occur at both ends of the age distribution. Pickup truck drivers have higher odds of being at fault than automobile drivers, while van drivers have lower odds. An "odds multiplies" computation combines the effects of the variables to permit comparison of the relative odds of fault between vari- ous categories of drivers. The implications of these finding are reviewed in terms of policy responses toward these high-risk combinations.
机译:使用对数线性建模技术,夏威夷卷入卷入的驾驶员发生故障的概率与三个类别变量有关。年龄,性别和车辆类型。与中年驾驶员相比,非常年轻和非常年长的驾驶员面临过错的风险高达三倍。在年龄分布的两端也都出现了明显的性别影响。皮卡车司机出现过失的几率比汽车司机高,而厢式货车的几率更低。 “奇乘”计算结合了变量的影响,从而可以比较不同类别驾驶员之间的相对故障几率。根据针对这些高风险组合的政策回应,对这些发现的含义进行了回顾。

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