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Editorial: Setting the Scene-Hydropolitics and the Development of the South African Economy

机译:社论:设定场景政治与南非经济的发展

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South Africa is a complex country with a history that is as rich as it is convoluted (Van Vuuren et al, 2007). Significantly, it has an industrialized economy, and is also one of the most economically diverse, water-scarce countries in the world, its population having adapted well to the largely semi-arid climate. This fact, in addition to the fundamental vulnerabilities that characterize South Africa's aquatic ecosystems, needs to be understood by the new generation of water resource managers if they are to engage successfully in sustainable and effective water management. A defining feature of South Africa is that it is part of a region that has the lowest conversion of mean annual precipitation (MAP) to mean annual runoff (MAR) in the world, a characteristic shared only with Australia (McMahon, 1979; O'Keeffe et al., 1992). The continental average for the conversion of MAP to MAR is 20%, i.e. one-fifth of the water that falls as rain eventually ends up as streamflow, a fact that is skewed because of the tropics at the centre of the continent. Most of the southern African region ranges from 10% to 15% MAP to MAR conversion, while the rest falls considerably below this key-defining ratio. Rivers with such a low conversion ratio are known as ephemeral streams and are episodic in nature with unique ecosystems and management challenges of their own (Jacobsen et al., 1995; Pallet et al., 1997; Seeley et al., 2002). In the case of South Africa, economic growth and development is fundamentally constrained by water resource availability as the country only has an average annual precipitation of 480 mm. This is a startling fact when one takes into account that in 2004 approximately 98% of the national water resource had already been allocated at a high assurance of supply level (NWRS, 2004). This situation leaves little margin for error if sustained economic growth is to be the norm in future.
机译:南非是一个复杂的国家,历史悠久,其发展也是如此复杂(Van Vuuren等,2007)。重要的是,它拥有工业化的经济,并且也是世界上经济上最多样化,缺水的国家之一,其人口已经很好地适应了半干旱的气候。新一代水资源管理人员要想成功地参与可持续和有效的水资源管理,除了南非水生生态系统所具有的基本脆弱性外,还需要了解这一事实。南非的一个典型特征是,它是世界上平均年降水量(MAP)到平均年径流量(MAR)转化率最低的地区的一部分,这一特征仅与澳大利亚共享(McMahon,1979; O' Keeffe等,1992)。将MAP转换为MAR的大陆平均值为20%,即由于雨水最终以河流流的形式落下,落下的水量的五分之一,这一事实由于大陆中心的热带地区而偏斜。南部非洲大多数地区的MAP到MAR的转化率从10%到15%不等,其余则大大低于此关键定义比例。转化率如此低的河流被称为短暂河流,本质上是偶发性的,具有独特的生态系统和自身的管理挑战(Jacobsen等,1995; Pallet等,1997; Seeley等,2002)。就南非而言,水资源的可利用性从根本上限制了经济增长和发展,因为该国年平均降水量仅为480毫米。当人们考虑到2004年已经以高度保证的供应水平分配了大约98%的国家水资源时,这是一个惊人的事实(NWRS,2004)。如果持续的经济增长将成为未来的常态,那么这种情况几乎不会出错。

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