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INTERVAL METHODS IN KNOWLEDGE REPRESENTATION

机译:知识表示的区间方法

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摘要

One of the main objectives of science and engineering is to predict the results of different decisions. In many cases, it is important to distinguish between aleatoric uncertainty, when different future situations are possible, and epistemic uncertainty, when only one situation is possible - but we do not know which one will occur. For example, in weather prediction, we largely deal with aleatoric uncertainty, because many details of the future weather pattern contain random components that cannot be predicted. On the other hand, when we are predicting the trajectory of an asteroid, we know that its trajectory is uniquely determined by its initial position and initial velocity, but since we do not know the exact values of this position and velocity, we cannot uniquely predict where the asteroid will be in a few months.
机译:科学与工程学的主要目标之一是预测不同决策的结果。在许多情况下,重要的是要区分出可能出现的未来情况时的不确定不确定性和只有一种情况时的认知不确定性,但我们不知道会发生哪种情况。例如,在天气预报中,我们很大程度上处理了不确定性,因为未来天气模式的许多细节都包含无法预测的随机成分。另一方面,当我们预测小行星的轨迹时,我们知道它的轨迹是由其初始位置和初始速度唯一确定的,但是由于我们不知道该位置和速度的确切值,因此无法唯一地预测小行星将在几个月后到达的位置。

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